Consumer Reports for punditry – best idea of the day
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/opinion/26Kristof.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss
So what about a system to evaluate us prognosticators? Professor Tetlock suggests that various foundations might try to create a “trans-ideological Consumer Reports for punditry,” monitoring and evaluating the records of various experts and pundits as a public service. I agree: Hold us accountable!
Experts get it wrong about the same amount of the time as flipping a coin get’s it right. Lovely. Accountability for pundits.